Comparing US Election Odds to Find Best Odds

Its US election time!

Introduction

As bettors we have to divorce ourselves from emotion currently and the future affects that an outcome may have. We care about value above all else.

Today we will do just that and look at all available odds across a number of platforms to understand if there is value within this market to exploit. We will look at traditional bookmakers like Bet365, traditional exchanges, Betfair and even crypto exchanges and prediction markets. Finally, we will also garner some insights from Nate Silver the king of election predictions.

These odds are obviously subject to change and I can imagine over the next 2 days these odds will be highly volatile given all new information that will be shared.

Betting Odds By Provider

For simplicity sake we will only be looking at the main election market, “Who Will Win the Presidential Election?”. There are many offerings such as State by State betting, State totals, To win popular vote etc. Arguably these derivative markets probably offer significant edges, so check those out if you wish.

Lets begin by looking at what the popular Cryptocurrency prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are offering currently.